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Boat comparison

Capability against cash genuinely gone, under four weighting schemes. Money never enters the capability score — different units, and collapsing them would hide the one trade this page exists to show.

Weighting scheme

Suits:
Two people on a well-understood downwind route in season, living aboard for eight or nine months, wanting the boat easy on them every single day. The 3 a.m. squall-line sail change is the modal emergency of this route, and it is a shorthandedHandling event, not a stormSafety event.
Sacrifices:
Ultimate-storm margin beyond the gate floor, and any pretence that heavy-weather capability is the main axis of this trip. Storm exposure is handled twice already: once by the stability gate, once by its 10 points.
Favours:
Moderate-displacement production boats with good deck layouts and modern systems — the Beneteaus, the Catalina; tolerates in-mast furling. The heavy trio stays live via reliability and comfort but loses ground on speedAndRange per dollar. The catamaran scores brilliantly here if it survives the budget gate — exactly why money must stay a separate axis.
Two-handed 20Durability 20Comfort at sea 15At anchor 15Speed 15Storm 10Parts 5

1Efficient frontier — what capability costs

Capability under Milk-Run Default against cash genuinely gone. Greyed boats are dominated: something else is both cheaper and better.

45678$150k$200k$250k$300kAll-in after resale — cash genuinely goneCapabilityBeneteau Oceanis 37 MALUHIABeneteau Oceanis 36 CC SEQUOIABeneteau Oceanis 393 MAYARIJeanneau Sun Fast 35Tayana 37Catalina 42 MkII CEST LA VIEPacific Seacraft 37 EquanimityBeneteau Oceanis 38 PAYDIRTBeneteau Oceanis 37 Grey GooseCabo Rico 38 AvalonBeneteau Oceanis 423 XALIBeneteau Oceanis 42CC AFFINITYTayana Vancouver 42 KIJeanneau Sun Odyssey 43Jeanneau Sun Odyssey 389Hunter 426Caliber 40 LRC HARRIET TUBMANHunter 41 Deck Salon INVICTUSTayana Vancouver 42 NOCTILUCAValiant 42 ENDEAVORSeawind 1160 CUBO LISTA

Dominated — cheaper and better exists

Reads wrong if: The y-axis is a weighted opinion, not a measurement. A 0.3 gap is noise; a 1.5 gap is real. And the catamaran's distance to the right is the finding, not a scaling problem — do not read the axis as broken.

2Gate board — who is actually in the fleet

Hard constraints, run before any scoring. Margins are printed rather than ticks, because a week of schedule slack and six months are not the same answer.

BoatStabilitySchedulePeak cashInsurable
Beneteau Oceanis 37 MALUHIACSF 2.11 — over 2.0, AVS neededready in 25wk — 53wk spare$159k vs $200kquote needed before offer
Beneteau Oceanis 36 CC SEQUOIACSF 2.11 — over 2.0, AVS neededready in 20wk — 58wk spare$162k vs $200kquote needed before offer
Beneteau Oceanis 393 MAYARICSF 2.02 — over 2.0, AVS neededready in 36wk — 42wk spare$176k vs $200kquote needed before offer
Jeanneau Sun Fast 35CSF 1.99 — under 2.0, no AVSready in 14wk — 64wk spare$88k vs $200kquote needed before offer
Tayana 37CSF 1.63 — under 2.0, no AVSready in 29wk — 49wk spare$175k vs $200kquote needed before offer
Catalina 42 MkII CEST LA VIECSF 2.02 — over 2.0, AVS neededready in 31wk — 47wk spare$219k vs $200kquote needed before offer
Pacific Seacraft 37 EquanimityAVS 140° — measuredready in 33wk — 45wk spare$219k vs $200kquote needed before offer
Beneteau Oceanis 38 PAYDIRTCSF 2.12 — over 2.0, AVS neededready in 13wk — 65wk spare$217k vs $200kquote needed before offer
Beneteau Oceanis 37 Grey GooseCSF 2.13 — over 2.0, AVS neededready in 32wk — 46wk spare$213k vs $200kquote needed before offer
Cabo Rico 38 AvalonCSF 1.65 — under 2.0, no AVSready in 20wk — 58wk spare$224k vs $200kquote needed before offer
Beneteau Oceanis 423 XALICSF 1.89 — under 2.0, no AVSready in 14wk — 64wk spare$216k vs $200kquote needed before offer
Beneteau Oceanis 42CC AFFINITYCSF 1.9 — under 2.0, no AVSready in 24wk — 54wk spare$218k vs $200kquote needed before offer
Tayana Vancouver 42 KICSF 1.62 — under 2.0, no AVSready in 33wk — 45wk spare$223k vs $200kquote needed before offer
Jeanneau Sun Odyssey 43CSF 2.01 — over 2.0, AVS neededready in 32wk — 46wk spare$238k vs $200kquote needed before offer
Jeanneau Sun Odyssey 389CSF 1.99 — under 2.0, no AVSready in 11wk — 67wk spare$250k vs $200kquote needed before offer
Hunter 426CSF 1.98 — under 2.0, no AVSready in 33wk — 45wk spare$251k vs $200kquote needed before offer
Caliber 40 LRC HARRIET TUBMANAVS 138° — measuredready in 23wk — 55wk spare$243k vs $200kquote needed before offer
Hunter 41 Deck Salon INVICTUSCSF 1.97 — under 2.0, no AVSready in 32wk — 46wk spare$258k vs $200kquote needed before offer
Tayana Vancouver 42 NOCTILUCACSF 1.62 — under 2.0, no AVSready in 44wk — 34wk spare$213k vs $200kquote needed before offer
Valiant 42 ENDEAVORAVS 134° — measuredready in 11wk — 67wk spare$289k vs $200kquote needed before offer
Seawind 1160 CUBO LISTACSF n/a on a multihull — needs design assessmentready in 47wk — 31wk spare$441k vs $200kquote needed before offer

Reads wrong if: Every stability cell is a fallback: no AVS was published for any of these hulls, so a green cell means 'capsize screening under 2.0', which is a coarse screen and not a measurement.

3Where the money goes

What each boat is actually made of, and how much comes back. Explains the frontier's cost axis.

Beneteau Oceanis 37 MALUHIAout $176k · back $88k · net $103k
Beneteau Oceanis 36 CC SEQUOIAout $179k · back $83k · net $130k
Beneteau Oceanis 38 PAYDIRTout $257k · back $128k · net $145k
Beneteau Oceanis 393 MAYARIout $187k · back $86k · net $147k
Beneteau Oceanis 423 XALIout $260k · back $138k · net $150k
Jeanneau Sun Odyssey 389out $299k · back $155k · net $154k
Cabo Rico 38 Avalonout $249k · back $130k · net $160k
Catalina 42 MkII CEST LA VIEout $249k · back $112k · net $161k
Pacific Seacraft 37 Equanimityout $188k · back $113k · net $166k
Beneteau Oceanis 37 Grey Gooseout $228k · back $119k · net $166k
Valiant 42 ENDEAVORout $348k · back $182k · net $169k
Jeanneau Sun Fast 35out $109k · back $75k · net $171k
Jeanneau Sun Odyssey 43out $276k · back $132k · net $173k
Beneteau Oceanis 42CC AFFINITYout $246k · back $125k · net $174k
Tayana Vancouver 42 KIout $233k · back $126k · net $176k
Hunter 426out $290k · back $139k · net $182k
Caliber 40 LRC HARRIET TUBMANout $267k · back $141k · net $185k
Tayana 37out $161k · back $65k · net $190k
Hunter 41 Deck Salon INVICTUSout $296k · back $142k · net $197k
Tayana Vancouver 42 NOCTILUCAout $221k · back $123k · net $234k
Seawind 1160 CUBO LISTAout $518k · back $273k · net $299k
  • Purchase
  • Refit
  • Holding
  • Duty, GST, broker
  • refit worst case
  • recouped on sale

Reads wrong if: The recouped bar assumes a resale that has not happened, at a recovery rate per line that is a judgement. Treat the outflow as firm and the return as a hope.

4Behaviour strip — balanced or spiky

Where each boat carries its weaknesses. A grid rather than a radar: radar charts make area look meaningful when the axes have no common unit, and reward whichever order you happened to put them in.

Reads wrong if: Scores describe the design after the refit is spent, not the boat as it sits. And the catamaran's storm-safety score covers a different failure mode — high initial stability, no self-righting.

5Uncertainty ladder — which numbers are still soft

Ranks your next diligence actions, not the boats. A wide bar and a pale fill mean the figure could move a long way and nobody has looked.

Pacific Seacraft 37 Equanimity$118k–$180k · 0% assessed · 25 open
Tayana Vancouver 42 KI$97k–$125k · 0% assessed · 27 open
Tayana 37$132k–$159k · 0% assessed · 21 open
Tayana Vancouver 42 NOCTILUCA$143k–$169k · 0% assessed · 28 open
Beneteau Oceanis 37 Grey Goose$103k–$122k · 0% assessed · 24 open
Caliber 40 LRC HARRIET TUBMAN$100k–$117k · 0% assessed · 25 open
Cabo Rico 38 Avalon$80k–$95k · 0% assessed · 19 open
Seawind 1160 CUBO LISTA$108k–$120k · 0% assessed · 28 open
Beneteau Oceanis 393 MAYARI$123k–$135k · 50% assessed · 31 open
Beneteau Oceanis 42CC AFFINITY$96k–$104k · 0% assessed · 33 open
Beneteau Oceanis 37 MALUHIA$68k–$76k · 96% assessed · 28 open
Beneteau Oceanis 36 CC SEQUOIA$90k–$95k · 0% assessed · 22 open
Beneteau Oceanis 423 XALI$45k–$45k · 54% assessed · 23 open
Jeanneau Sun Fast 35$72k · 0% assessed · 27 open
Catalina 42 MkII CEST LA VIE$143k · 0% assessed · 30 open
Beneteau Oceanis 38 PAYDIRT$61k · 0% assessed · 26 open
Jeanneau Sun Odyssey 43$133k · 0% assessed · 30 open
Jeanneau Sun Odyssey 389$51k · 0% assessed · 30 open
Hunter 426$150k · 0% assessed · 30 open
Hunter 41 Deck Salon INVICTUS$166k · 0% assessed · 30 open
Valiant 42 ENDEAVOR$39k · 0% assessed · 29 open

Reads wrong if: A narrow bar can mean a well-researched boat or a lazily-researched one. Read it with the assessed percentage, not on its own.

6Rank stability — does the weighting actually matter?

Each boat's rank under all four schemes. Flat lines mean the answer survives the values debate; crossings show exactly which boats the choice decides.

Milk-Run DefaultStorm ClauseTradewind LiveaboardCapital ShieldCoastal DefaultBeneteau Oceanis 37 21Beneteau Oceanis 36 12Beneteau Oceanis 39317Jeanneau Sun Fast 3520Tayana 3710Catalina 42 MkII CES16Pacific Seacraft 37 6Beneteau Oceanis 38 14Beneteau Oceanis 37 19Cabo Rico 38 Avalon5Beneteau Oceanis 4238Beneteau Oceanis 42C18Tayana Vancouver 42 4Jeanneau Sun Odyssey15Jeanneau Sun Odyssey7Hunter 42613Caliber 40 LRC HARRI2Hunter 41 Deck Salon11Tayana Vancouver 42 9Valiant 42 ENDEAVOR3Seawind 1160 CUBO LI1

Reads wrong if: Stability across schemes is not correctness. All four schemes share the same seven dimensions and the same underlying scores, so they agree partly by construction.

Why the default scheme

Milk-Run Default — the route argues for it: overwhelmingly downwind trade-wind sailing in season on the most-travelled cruising highway on earth, with the one realistic storm exposure handled twice (stability gate + 10 points). What the route taxes daily, for ~60–70 sea days, is two people's ability to handle, fix, and rest on the boat: that is where the weight sits. Honest test: run Milk-Run Default and Storm Clause side by side in the rank-stability chart — if the same boats top both, the values argument is moot and you can stop having it.

What this comparison will mislead you about (9)
  • The behaviour scores are the softest layer and about to become the most visible one: 1–10s assigned from listings, forums and reviews, sources biased toward owner enthusiasm. Defences: write a one-line observable-anchored rubric per dimension BEFORE scoring; score post-refit; mark evidence quality per cell and show the dots on the strip chart. Without rubrics the apparatus becomes a rationalisation engine with JSON output.
  • expectedResale is the largest single guess and swings the final ordering more than any weight debate: ±20% on a $150k resale is ±$30k on the frontier's x-axis — bigger than most gaps between adjacent boats. Pull actual AU sold-comps per model (the count IS the confidence figure) and redraw the frontier at resale ±20% to see which positions survive. Stress-test the boats whose case rests on resale hardest: Ki, the Seawind.
  • The flat 5%+10%+10% sale-cost model is per-boat wrong in ways big enough to reorder the frontier's right half: AUSFTA plausibly makes US-built boats (Catalina, both Hunters) duty-free with the paperwork right (~$5–7k swing); the Seawind is an Australian-built boat coming home (duty treatment + home-market liquidity currently priced at zero); French and Taiwanese builds pay the full stack; GST compounds on the duty-inclusive value so the error propagates; 10% brokerage is the top of the AU range. Per-boat sale-cost lines are an afternoon of work.
  • Two of your own numbers disagree about the catamaran: the brief says ~$300k all-in after resale; the stored all-in model's central delta is $389,726 (best $238k, worst $636k). At $300k it is an expensive question; at $390k central it is close to indefensible outside Tradewind Liveaboard. Reconcile before drawing any chart with the Seawind on it. Its beam is likewise double-sourced (20'4" vs 21'4") and its haul-out gate turns on the answer.
  • The gates as stated will misfire if run as stated: CSF < 2.0 on published dry displacement fails four production boats (2.01–2.11) while five of ten monohulls sit within 0.06 of the line — inside the noise of the displacement figure. Run stability as a hierarchy (AVS where measured, CE category + design assessment, CSF-loaded as coarse screen) and print margins. Same disease on draft: two boats at exactly 6.50, one at 6.56-by-spec vs 6.5-by-listing. Gates must run on measured values or they manufacture pass/fail theatre at ±1 inch.
  • The brief says ten boats; the project holds models for eleven. The Jeanneau reads like a boat half-dropped at the draft gate. Decide its status explicitly — a method whose denominator is fuzzy is not yet a method.
  • diySaving is a currency exchange, not a discount: it converts money risk into schedule risk against the one deadline with no whisker. The never-DIY list (rigging, seacocks, LPG, saildrive diaphragms) is insurer-constrained; the one large prize (Noctiluca's deck, ~180–200 h ≈ $11k) would spend half a year of DIY budget on the fleet's second-riskiest boat. Ghost dots on the frontier: visible, never banked.
  • weeksToReady gates the wrong end of the calendar: the binding constraint is arrival in Brisbane before ~November 2028 cyclone onset, and boat speed changes how much of the fixed season each boat consumes. Add arrivalMargin per boat and gate on both ends.
  • Within-cluster comparisons are diligence contests, not weighting contests: Ki and Noctiluca tie on design by construction and differ by $18k of risk expectation — the price of a thin listing. Do not expect the schemes to separate boats inside a cluster; that is the uncertainty ladder's job.
Measures deliberately dropped (8)

Each of these was considered and cut, mostly for not discriminating between these ten boats or for double-counting something already measured. Adding them back would add noise, not information.

  • askingPrice (as a comparator) — Most visible number, least meaningful: ask ordering and all-in ordering are nearly uncorrelated in this fleet (Mayari $69.5k ask carries ~$69k central required work; Affinity $130k carries $34.9k). Keep only for offer strategy.
  • offerWithinBudget — A property of the wallet, not the boat. Constraint input to the budget gate, never a comparison output.
  • SA/D — Spread across the monohulls is ~14.1–15.4 — a rounding error. It answered 'is any of these a racer or a caravan' and the answer is no. Retire to the anchor table.
  • CE design category (as a compared measure) — Category A or equivalent fleet-wide; zero discrimination. Gate input only.
  • australianResale (the 1–10 score) — expectedResale/saleCosts/recoupedValue already hold this idea in dollars; a parallel score invites weighting the same fact in two units. The one residue — liquidity/time-to-sell — belongs as a confidence note on the resale estimate.
  • motoringSpeed — Merged with motoringCapacity and speedLoaded into speedAndRange: expected loaded passage speed + range under power in nm. The tank spread (≈35 vs 130 gal ≈ 250 vs 900 nm) survives inside the merged score's rubric.
  • motoringCapacity — Merged into speedAndRange (see motoringSpeed).
  • payloadTolerance — Same idea as speedLoaded measured at a different load. Fix: define speedAndRange in full cruising trim (~a tonne for two crossing an ocean) and keep displacement-to-payload as an anchor input, not a dimension.