Boat comparison
Capability against cash genuinely gone, under four weighting schemes. Money never enters the capability score — different units, and collapsing them would hide the one trade this page exists to show.
Weighting scheme
- Suits:
- Two people on a well-understood downwind route in season, living aboard for eight or nine months, wanting the boat easy on them every single day. The 3 a.m. squall-line sail change is the modal emergency of this route, and it is a shorthandedHandling event, not a stormSafety event.
- Sacrifices:
- Ultimate-storm margin beyond the gate floor, and any pretence that heavy-weather capability is the main axis of this trip. Storm exposure is handled twice already: once by the stability gate, once by its 10 points.
- Favours:
- Moderate-displacement production boats with good deck layouts and modern systems — the Beneteaus, the Catalina; tolerates in-mast furling. The heavy trio stays live via reliability and comfort but loses ground on speedAndRange per dollar. The catamaran scores brilliantly here if it survives the budget gate — exactly why money must stay a separate axis.
1Efficient frontier — what capability costs
Capability under Milk-Run Default against cash genuinely gone. Greyed boats are dominated: something else is both cheaper and better.
On the frontier
- Beneteau Oceanis 37 MALUHIA$103k · 5.05
- Beneteau Oceanis 36 CC SEQUOIA$130k · 5.85
- Beneteau Oceanis 423 XALI$150k · 6.22
- Jeanneau Sun Odyssey 389$154k · 6.36
- Cabo Rico 38 Avalon$160k · 6.88
- Valiant 42 ENDEAVOR$169k · 7.14
- Caliber 40 LRC HARRIET TUBMAN$185k · 7.17
- Seawind 1160 CUBO LISTA$299k · 8.05
Dominated — cheaper and better exists
- Beneteau Oceanis 38 PAYDIRT$145k · 5.66 · beaten by 1
- Beneteau Oceanis 393 MAYARI$147k · 5.40 · beaten by 2
- Catalina 42 MkII CEST LA VIE$161k · 5.53 · beaten by 5
- Pacific Seacraft 37 Equanimity$166k · 6.71 · beaten by 1
- Beneteau Oceanis 37 Grey Goose$166k · 5.33 · beaten by 8
- Jeanneau Sun Fast 35$171k · 5.15 · beaten by 10
- Jeanneau Sun Odyssey 43$173k · 5.63 · beaten by 7
- Beneteau Oceanis 42CC AFFINITY$174k · 5.50 · beaten by 9
- Tayana Vancouver 42 KI$176k · 7.00 · beaten by 1
- Hunter 426$182k · 5.88 · beaten by 6
- Tayana 37$190k · 6.09 · beaten by 7
- Hunter 41 Deck Salon INVICTUS$197k · 5.91 · beaten by 8
- Tayana Vancouver 42 NOCTILUCA$234k · 6.36 · beaten by 5
Reads wrong if: The y-axis is a weighted opinion, not a measurement. A 0.3 gap is noise; a 1.5 gap is real. And the catamaran's distance to the right is the finding, not a scaling problem — do not read the axis as broken.
2Gate board — who is actually in the fleet
Hard constraints, run before any scoring. Margins are printed rather than ticks, because a week of schedule slack and six months are not the same answer.
| Boat | Stability | Schedule | Peak cash | Insurable |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beneteau Oceanis 37 MALUHIA | CSF 2.11 — over 2.0, AVS needed | ready in 25wk — 53wk spare | $159k vs $200k | quote needed before offer |
| Beneteau Oceanis 36 CC SEQUOIA | CSF 2.11 — over 2.0, AVS needed | ready in 20wk — 58wk spare | $162k vs $200k | quote needed before offer |
| Beneteau Oceanis 393 MAYARI | CSF 2.02 — over 2.0, AVS needed | ready in 36wk — 42wk spare | $176k vs $200k | quote needed before offer |
| Jeanneau Sun Fast 35 | CSF 1.99 — under 2.0, no AVS | ready in 14wk — 64wk spare | $88k vs $200k | quote needed before offer |
| Tayana 37 | CSF 1.63 — under 2.0, no AVS | ready in 29wk — 49wk spare | $175k vs $200k | quote needed before offer |
| Catalina 42 MkII CEST LA VIE | CSF 2.02 — over 2.0, AVS needed | ready in 31wk — 47wk spare | $219k vs $200k | quote needed before offer |
| Pacific Seacraft 37 Equanimity | AVS 140° — measured | ready in 33wk — 45wk spare | $219k vs $200k | quote needed before offer |
| Beneteau Oceanis 38 PAYDIRT | CSF 2.12 — over 2.0, AVS needed | ready in 13wk — 65wk spare | $217k vs $200k | quote needed before offer |
| Beneteau Oceanis 37 Grey Goose | CSF 2.13 — over 2.0, AVS needed | ready in 32wk — 46wk spare | $213k vs $200k | quote needed before offer |
| Cabo Rico 38 Avalon | CSF 1.65 — under 2.0, no AVS | ready in 20wk — 58wk spare | $224k vs $200k | quote needed before offer |
| Beneteau Oceanis 423 XALI | CSF 1.89 — under 2.0, no AVS | ready in 14wk — 64wk spare | $216k vs $200k | quote needed before offer |
| Beneteau Oceanis 42CC AFFINITY | CSF 1.9 — under 2.0, no AVS | ready in 24wk — 54wk spare | $218k vs $200k | quote needed before offer |
| Tayana Vancouver 42 KI | CSF 1.62 — under 2.0, no AVS | ready in 33wk — 45wk spare | $223k vs $200k | quote needed before offer |
| Jeanneau Sun Odyssey 43 | CSF 2.01 — over 2.0, AVS needed | ready in 32wk — 46wk spare | $238k vs $200k | quote needed before offer |
| Jeanneau Sun Odyssey 389 | CSF 1.99 — under 2.0, no AVS | ready in 11wk — 67wk spare | $250k vs $200k | quote needed before offer |
| Hunter 426 | CSF 1.98 — under 2.0, no AVS | ready in 33wk — 45wk spare | $251k vs $200k | quote needed before offer |
| Caliber 40 LRC HARRIET TUBMAN | AVS 138° — measured | ready in 23wk — 55wk spare | $243k vs $200k | quote needed before offer |
| Hunter 41 Deck Salon INVICTUS | CSF 1.97 — under 2.0, no AVS | ready in 32wk — 46wk spare | $258k vs $200k | quote needed before offer |
| Tayana Vancouver 42 NOCTILUCA | CSF 1.62 — under 2.0, no AVS | ready in 44wk — 34wk spare | $213k vs $200k | quote needed before offer |
| Valiant 42 ENDEAVOR | AVS 134° — measured | ready in 11wk — 67wk spare | $289k vs $200k | quote needed before offer |
| Seawind 1160 CUBO LISTA | CSF n/a on a multihull — needs design assessment | ready in 47wk — 31wk spare | $441k vs $200k | quote needed before offer |
Reads wrong if: Every stability cell is a fallback: no AVS was published for any of these hulls, so a green cell means 'capsize screening under 2.0', which is a coarse screen and not a measurement.
3Where the money goes
What each boat is actually made of, and how much comes back. Explains the frontier's cost axis.
- Purchase
- Refit
- Holding
- Duty, GST, broker
- refit worst case
- recouped on sale
Reads wrong if: The recouped bar assumes a resale that has not happened, at a recovery rate per line that is a judgement. Treat the outflow as firm and the return as a hope.
4Behaviour strip — balanced or spiky
Where each boat carries its weaknesses. A grid rather than a radar: radar charts make area look meaningful when the axes have no common unit, and reward whichever order you happened to put them in.
| Boat | Comfort at sea | At anchor | Durability | Speed | Storm | Two-handed | Parts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beneteau Oceanis 37 MALUHIA | 3 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 8 |
| Beneteau Oceanis 36 CC SEQUOIA | 4 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 8 |
| Beneteau Oceanis 393 MAYARI | 4 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 8 |
| Jeanneau Sun Fast 35 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 8 |
| Tayana 37 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 5.3 | 8 | 5 | 6 |
| Catalina 42 MkII CEST LA VIE | 5 | 6 | 5 | 4.5 | 4 | 7 | 8 |
| Pacific Seacraft 37 Equanimity | 7.5 | 5 | 7.5 | 5.3 | 8.5 | 6.5 | 8 |
| Beneteau Oceanis 38 PAYDIRT | 3 | 7 | 5 | 5.8 | 3 | 8 | 8 |
| Beneteau Oceanis 37 Grey Goose | 3 | 6 | 5 | 4.5 | 3 | 8 | 8 |
| Cabo Rico 38 Avalon | 7.5 | 5.5 | 7 | 5.9 | 8.5 | 7 | 8 |
| Beneteau Oceanis 423 XALI | 5 | 7 | 6 | 6.5 | 5 | 7 | 7 |
| Beneteau Oceanis 42CC AFFINITY | 6 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 7 |
| Tayana Vancouver 42 KI | 9 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 6 |
| Jeanneau Sun Odyssey 43 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 6.5 | 4 | 6 | 8 |
| Jeanneau Sun Odyssey 389 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 5.8 | 4 | 9 | 9 |
| Hunter 426 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 6.5 | 2 | 8 | 8 |
| Caliber 40 LRC HARRIET TUBMAN | 7 | 8 | 7 | 6.5 | 8 | 7 | 7 |
| Hunter 41 Deck Salon INVICTUS | 5 | 8 | 4 | 5.8 | 3 | 8 | 8 |
| Tayana Vancouver 42 NOCTILUCA | 8 | 5 | 8 | 4.8 | 9 | 4 | 8 |
| Valiant 42 ENDEAVOR | 8 | 6 | 8 | 6.3 | 8 | 7 | 6 |
| Seawind 1160 CUBO LISTA | 8 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 9 |
Reads wrong if: Scores describe the design after the refit is spent, not the boat as it sits. And the catamaran's storm-safety score covers a different failure mode — high initial stability, no self-righting.
5Uncertainty ladder — which numbers are still soft
Ranks your next diligence actions, not the boats. A wide bar and a pale fill mean the figure could move a long way and nobody has looked.
Reads wrong if: A narrow bar can mean a well-researched boat or a lazily-researched one. Read it with the assessed percentage, not on its own.
6Rank stability — does the weighting actually matter?
Each boat's rank under all four schemes. Flat lines mean the answer survives the values debate; crossings show exactly which boats the choice decides.
Reads wrong if: Stability across schemes is not correctness. All four schemes share the same seven dimensions and the same underlying scores, so they agree partly by construction.
Why the default scheme
Milk-Run Default — the route argues for it: overwhelmingly downwind trade-wind sailing in season on the most-travelled cruising highway on earth, with the one realistic storm exposure handled twice (stability gate + 10 points). What the route taxes daily, for ~60–70 sea days, is two people's ability to handle, fix, and rest on the boat: that is where the weight sits. Honest test: run Milk-Run Default and Storm Clause side by side in the rank-stability chart — if the same boats top both, the values argument is moot and you can stop having it.
What this comparison will mislead you about (9)
- The behaviour scores are the softest layer and about to become the most visible one: 1–10s assigned from listings, forums and reviews, sources biased toward owner enthusiasm. Defences: write a one-line observable-anchored rubric per dimension BEFORE scoring; score post-refit; mark evidence quality per cell and show the dots on the strip chart. Without rubrics the apparatus becomes a rationalisation engine with JSON output.
- expectedResale is the largest single guess and swings the final ordering more than any weight debate: ±20% on a $150k resale is ±$30k on the frontier's x-axis — bigger than most gaps between adjacent boats. Pull actual AU sold-comps per model (the count IS the confidence figure) and redraw the frontier at resale ±20% to see which positions survive. Stress-test the boats whose case rests on resale hardest: Ki, the Seawind.
- The flat 5%+10%+10% sale-cost model is per-boat wrong in ways big enough to reorder the frontier's right half: AUSFTA plausibly makes US-built boats (Catalina, both Hunters) duty-free with the paperwork right (~$5–7k swing); the Seawind is an Australian-built boat coming home (duty treatment + home-market liquidity currently priced at zero); French and Taiwanese builds pay the full stack; GST compounds on the duty-inclusive value so the error propagates; 10% brokerage is the top of the AU range. Per-boat sale-cost lines are an afternoon of work.
- Two of your own numbers disagree about the catamaran: the brief says ~$300k all-in after resale; the stored all-in model's central delta is $389,726 (best $238k, worst $636k). At $300k it is an expensive question; at $390k central it is close to indefensible outside Tradewind Liveaboard. Reconcile before drawing any chart with the Seawind on it. Its beam is likewise double-sourced (20'4" vs 21'4") and its haul-out gate turns on the answer.
- The gates as stated will misfire if run as stated: CSF < 2.0 on published dry displacement fails four production boats (2.01–2.11) while five of ten monohulls sit within 0.06 of the line — inside the noise of the displacement figure. Run stability as a hierarchy (AVS where measured, CE category + design assessment, CSF-loaded as coarse screen) and print margins. Same disease on draft: two boats at exactly 6.50, one at 6.56-by-spec vs 6.5-by-listing. Gates must run on measured values or they manufacture pass/fail theatre at ±1 inch.
- The brief says ten boats; the project holds models for eleven. The Jeanneau reads like a boat half-dropped at the draft gate. Decide its status explicitly — a method whose denominator is fuzzy is not yet a method.
- diySaving is a currency exchange, not a discount: it converts money risk into schedule risk against the one deadline with no whisker. The never-DIY list (rigging, seacocks, LPG, saildrive diaphragms) is insurer-constrained; the one large prize (Noctiluca's deck, ~180–200 h ≈ $11k) would spend half a year of DIY budget on the fleet's second-riskiest boat. Ghost dots on the frontier: visible, never banked.
- weeksToReady gates the wrong end of the calendar: the binding constraint is arrival in Brisbane before ~November 2028 cyclone onset, and boat speed changes how much of the fixed season each boat consumes. Add arrivalMargin per boat and gate on both ends.
- Within-cluster comparisons are diligence contests, not weighting contests: Ki and Noctiluca tie on design by construction and differ by $18k of risk expectation — the price of a thin listing. Do not expect the schemes to separate boats inside a cluster; that is the uncertainty ladder's job.
Measures deliberately dropped (8)
Each of these was considered and cut, mostly for not discriminating between these ten boats or for double-counting something already measured. Adding them back would add noise, not information.
- askingPrice (as a comparator) — Most visible number, least meaningful: ask ordering and all-in ordering are nearly uncorrelated in this fleet (Mayari $69.5k ask carries ~$69k central required work; Affinity $130k carries $34.9k). Keep only for offer strategy.
- offerWithinBudget — A property of the wallet, not the boat. Constraint input to the budget gate, never a comparison output.
- SA/D — Spread across the monohulls is ~14.1–15.4 — a rounding error. It answered 'is any of these a racer or a caravan' and the answer is no. Retire to the anchor table.
- CE design category (as a compared measure) — Category A or equivalent fleet-wide; zero discrimination. Gate input only.
- australianResale (the 1–10 score) — expectedResale/saleCosts/recoupedValue already hold this idea in dollars; a parallel score invites weighting the same fact in two units. The one residue — liquidity/time-to-sell — belongs as a confidence note on the resale estimate.
- motoringSpeed — Merged with motoringCapacity and speedLoaded into speedAndRange: expected loaded passage speed + range under power in nm. The tank spread (≈35 vs 130 gal ≈ 250 vs 900 nm) survives inside the merged score's rubric.
- motoringCapacity — Merged into speedAndRange (see motoringSpeed).
- payloadTolerance — Same idea as speedLoaded measured at a different load. Fix: define speedAndRange in full cruising trim (~a tonne for two crossing an ocean) and keep displacement-to-payload as an anchor input, not a dimension.